Causality and probability

pp. 333-344

in: Hans Reichenbach, Selected writings 1909–1953, Berlin, Springer, 1978

Abstract

Let us now turn to the problem of the justification of probability statements. Why are we entitled to believe that probability statements are true? There are two aspects to this problem. The first concerns the ground for specific metrical assertions, for example, that the probability of the occurence of a given face of a die is 1/6; the second concerns the justification of more general probability statements, in particular, the rule of induction.